From the economic development process look, China is in industrialization, in the middle of national economic sectors pursuit of mechanization and automation is the trend of The Times, in a relatively long period of machinery and equipment as the basis of the machine tool product has a strong demand, but the strong demand rate also will increase with the macroeconomic situation changes fluctuating.
      In 2008 Chinas GDP growth is a value in 2007, but is expected to decline will remain at 9.5% ~ 10.5% range. Due to prevent the economy from overheated, the country executes a tight monetary policy, fixed asset investment growth will also be lower than last year, this will affect the user to machine tool equipment investment, however machinery industry (machine main users) fixed asset investment growth will also above the national level.
      In addition, the state industrial policy support for machine tools, not only help China machine tool industry development, also can to a certain extent promote China machine market prosperity. In such a macro economic background, the 2008 China machine market will continue to keep rising trend, but production growth may be easing.
      From the main users industry, and the machines biggest users see industry production of automobile industry in 2008 will exceed 10 million vehicles, will remain double-digit growth. And railway transport equipment industry in speed and new mileage of dual driving to machine tool equipment, there will also be more demand. 2008 aerospace industry will accelerate development, "shenzhou 7," this year for launch, domestic regional jet, the upcoming batch production, large aircraft have program.through plus warplanes provided backup and helicopters etc projects, will need of high performance numerical control machine. The shipbuilding industry develops very quickly, China has become the worlds shipbuilding powers, one of the 2010 shipbuilding capacity to achieve 2300 million tons this year, the industry of machine equipment will have comparative strong demand. Electronic information industry of metal processing work though not very big, but because of its scale expanding quickly, the demand for machine tool equipment was growing.
In addition, metallurgical machinery, general machinery, construction machinery, power generation equipment and mold such traditional machinery industry, also are countries to develop equipment industrial policy guidance, the optimization and upgrading of industrial will further enhance its machine tool equipment level of technology. From the above these users industry the circumstance looks, this year China machine tools and value of purchases will continue to rise.
      In 2008, high-grade machine tools and complete into line products mainly rely on imports situation can only improved, but wont appear fundamental change, and the country this year is to interest loans encourages import high-grade machine tools. In addition, the international industrial transfer trend to China this year, continues to foreign direct investment of China manufacturing industry will also many, this will help China machine consumption especially machine imported played a great role in supporting (foreign as investment accounts for imported equipment machine total imports of five percent).
       Thus, in 2008 China machine imports will still remain high in, not drastic fluctuations.
      2008 world economic growth will slow, which will affect Chinas export machine. This year 1 ~ 2 months China machinery industry export value of growth than the same period last year fell 14.83 percentage points (year-on-year growth of 20.92%), is a clear signal. However, China machine exports more decentralized, export product structure is gradually improve, its comparative advantage is still evident, so the 2008 Chinas export machine is expected to grow, probably had years of ultra-high speed growth into normal growth.
      Consider the various factors, the author of the 2008 China machine market of the four indexes make the following prediction:
      According to the calculation of machine tools spending $growth is unlikely to like you did last year, an increase by more than 20% in about 10% ~ 20% between, specific amount are likely to reach or exceed $18 billion.
      This year China machine market still have comparative strong demand environment, in national development of the equipment manufacturing industry policy support, the output value of RMB machine by more than 20% growth could still, especially home-made numerical control machines output will reach 15 million.
      The rate of growth of exports from the machines 2007 almost 40% dipped to a 20% chance is larger, but export scale still could reach 20 billion dollars.
      Machine imports in mentioned above, under the support of many factors will continue to be quite high amount, but home-made numerical control machine (including foreign-invested enterprises in Chinas products) import substitution effect also cannot be ignored, reason this year will around the base of imports last year, is expected to specific amount fluctuations in about $6.8 billion ~ 75 between.
      This year China machine consumption structure further upgraded on high, middle-grade nc machine tools and complete into line equipment demand will continue to increase, but for ordinary and small and medium-sized machine tool demand growth slowed sharply, the market will accelerate situation requires machine tool builders product structure adjustment. The author believes that China numerically-controlled machine tools production growth has not the key factors, optimize the home-made numerical control machine yield components, improving the overall development of the home-made numerical control machine quality fittest. Good words is preferred, good seek for fast.